[ κÃô ]¡ª¡ª(2011-7-1) / ÒÑÔÄ26514´Î
1¡¢Õþ¸®ÔÚ¾ÈÖú¹ý³ÌÖйý¶àµØÔËÓÃÐÐÕþÊÖ¶Î, ½ÏÉÙÔËÓÃÊг¡ÊÖ¶Î,ΪÁË×·Çó¹¦ÄÜÇ¿´ó¶ø¸³Óè¹ý¶àµÄȨÁ¦¡£ÏÖÓеÄÕâÖÖ¼à¹ÜÖÆ¶Èµßµ¹ÁËÕþ¸®¹ÜÖÆÓëÊг¡Ô¼ÊøÖ®¼äµÄÖ÷´Î¹ØÏµ, ÒÔÐÐÕþ¼à¹Ü´úÌæÁËÊг¡Ô¼Êø£¬Ê¹µÃ¼à¹Ü³É±¾¾Ó¸ß²»Ï¡£Õþ¸®¼¸ºõ³Ðµ£ÁËÎÊÌâÒøÐÐËùÔì³ÉµÄËùÓÐËðʧ,ÕâÖָ߳ɱ¾Öв»½öÓÐÀ´×ÔÓÚÐÐÕþ¼à¹ÜÕý³£ÔËתËùÐèÒªµÄÅÓ´ó·ÑÓÿªÖ§,¶øÇÒÓÐÀ´×ÔÓÚÒòÐÅÏ¢´«µÝµÄµÍËٶȶøµ¼ÖµÄЧÂÊËðʧ¡£¶ø¸ß³É±¾µÍЧÂʵÄÒøÐмà¹ÜÄÑÒÔÔÚÖÎÀíÒøÐÐÌåϵ´àÈõÐÔ¹ý³ÌÖз¢»ÓÓ¦ÓеÄ×÷Óá£ÕâÑù, µ¼ÖÂÁËÉç»á¡¢¹ú¼ÒÐÅÓ÷çÏյĻýÀÛ, ¼È²»²úÉú·ÖÉ¢¡¢×ªÒÆ¡¢²¹³¥·çÏյĻúÖÆ, Ò²ÎÞÖúÓÚÌá¸ßͶ×ÊÕߵķçÏÕÒâʶ£»
2¡¢»ìÏýÁËÒøÐоÈÖúÓëÊг¡Í˳öµÄ½çÏß¡£ ¼òµ¥µØÓÃÐÐÕþ¼æ²¢´úÌæÊг¡Í˳ö, ÒÔÎþÉüЧÂÊΪ´ú¼ÛΪÎÊÌâÑÏÖØµÄÒøÐдòÇ¿ÐÄÕë, ʹ·çÏÕ½øÒ»²½»ý¾Û, ²»ÄÜ´Ó±¾ÖÊÉÏ»¯½âºÍ·ÖÉ¢·çÏÕ£»
3¡¢½ðÈÚ°²È«Íø²»¹»ÍêÉÆ¡£ÎÒ¹úĿǰµÄÒþÐÔ´æ¿î±£ÏÕÖÆ¶ÈijÖ̶ֳÈÉϼӾçÁËÒøÐÐÌåϵµÄ´àÈõÐÔ£¬ÎÞÂÛÊǰþÀëËÄ´ó¹úÓÐÒøÐеIJ»Á¼×ʲú£¬»òÊÇÏòËüÃÇ×¢×Ê£¬»¹ÊÇÏò±»¹Ø±Õ½ðÈÚ»ú¹¹ÌṩÔÙ´û¿î£¬¶¼¿É¿´×÷ÊÇÕþ¸®ÌṩÁËÒ»ÖÖ±äÏàµÄ¡°´æ¿î±£ÏÕ·þÎñ¡±¡£ÕâÖÖÒþÐÔ´æ¿î±£ÏÕÖÆ¶ÈµÄ×î´óȱÏÝÊÇÇ¿»¯Á˽ðÈÚÆóÒµµÄµÀµÂ·çÏÕ¡£¿É¼û£¬ÒþÐÔ´æ¿î±£ÏÕÖÆ¶ÈÊÇÔì³ÉÎÒ¹úÒøÐÐÒµ²»Á¼´û¿îÔöÁ¿¾Ó¸ß²»ÏµÄÖØÒªÔÒò¡£´ËÍ⣬ÒþÐÔ´æ¿î±£ÏÕÖÆ¶ÈûÓÐÃ÷È·µÄÌåϵ¹¹³ÉºÍ·¨¹æ±£ÕÏ£¬¹«ÖÚÎÞ·¨¶ÔÕþ¸®µÄ´ëÊ©×ö³öÔ¤ÆÚ£¬ÈÝÒ×ÓÕ·¢¼·¶Ò¿Ö»Å¡£´ËÍ⣬¼à¹Ü×ÊÔ´ºÍ¼à¹ÜÊֶβ»×㣬³ÉΪӰÏì¼à¹ÜÓÐЧÐÔµÄÒ»¸öÆ¿¾±¡£
£¨¶þ£©¸Ä½øºÍÍêÉÆÎÒ¹úÒøÐÐΣ»ú¾ÈÖú·¨ÂÉÖÆ¶ÈµÄ˼¿¼
1¡¢¸Ä¸ïÖÐÑëÒøÐÐ×îºó´û¿îÈËÖÆ¶È
£¨1£©È·Á¢Ã÷È·µÄ¾ÈÖú¹æÔò¡£ÔÚÎÒ¹úÖÆ¶¨Ò»¸öÃ÷È·µÄ¾ÈÖú¹æÔòÊDZØÒªµÄ¡£ÆäÒ»£¬¿ÉÒÔ·ÀÖ¹ÖÐÑëÒøÐÐÊÜ·Ç·¨¸ÉÔ¤£¬µ¼Ö½ô¼±´û¿î¾ÈÖúµÄÀÄÓá£Ô¤ÏÈÉèÁ¢¹æÔò£¬¿ÉÒÔ°ïÖúÅж¨ÊÇ·ñÀÄÓÃȨÁ¦µÄÐÐΪ£¬ÔöÇ¿¹«ÖÚ¶ÔÖÐÑëÒøÐÐÐÐΪµÄ¼à¶½£»Æä¶þ£¬ÔÚȱ·¦¾ÑéµÄÇé¿öÏ£¬Ã÷È·µÄ¹æÔò¿ÉÒÔʹ¾ÈÖú¹¤×÷ÓÐÕ¿ÉÑ£¬Óз¨¿ÉÒÀ£¬¼õÉÙ´û¿î¾ö²ßµÄËæÒâÐÔ¡¢Ã¤Ä¿ÐÔ£»ÆäÈý£¬½ô¼±¾ÈÖúµÄ͸Ã÷¶È¿ÉÒÔ¼õÉÙ²»È·¶¨ÐÔ£¬¶Ô½ðÈÚ»ú¹¹ºÍ´æ¿î×¼ÈëÓÐÕò¶¨Ð§Ó¦£¬²úÉúÖÐÑëÒøÐлá¾ÈÖúΣ»úµÄÁ¼ºÃµÄÐÄÀíÔ¤ÆÚ£¬´Ó¶ø¼õÈõ´æ¿îÈ˲ÎÓë¼·¶ÒµÄÐÄÀí¶¯»ú£¬Î¬»¤¹«ÖÚÐÅÐÄ¡£
£¨2£©ÍêÉÆ»õ±ÒÊг¡ºÍ¹«¿ªÊг¡²Ù×÷£¬ÎªÖÐÑëÒøÐÐ×îºó´û¿îÊֶεļ°Ê±¡¢Áé»î¡¢ÓÐЧµÄÔËÓô´ÔìÌõ¼þ¡£Í¬Ê±Òª½¨Á¢ºÍÍêÉÆÔÙ´û¿îÖеĵÖѺ´û¿îÖÆ¶È£¬±£Ö¤ÖÐÑëÒøÐÐÔÙ´û¿îµÄ°²È«¡£
£¨3£©ºÏÀí»®·ÖÈËÃñÒøÐÐ×ÜÐк͸÷¼¶·ÖÖ§»ú¹¹ÔÚΣ»ú¾ÈÖúÖеÄÖ°Ô𣬶ÔÔËÓÃÔÙ´û¿î¡¢¶¯Óôæ¿î×¼±¸½ðµÄȨÏÞ¿ÉÒÀ¾ÝÊý¶î´óСÔÚ×Ü·ÖÖ§ÐÐ¼ä½øÐл®·Ö£¬ÒÔ°ÑÎÕ¾ÈÖúʱ»ú£¬½µµÍÍÏÑӳɱ¾£¬Ìá¸ß¾ÈÖúЧÂÊ£¬×î´óÏ޶ȵطÀֹΣ»úÂûÑӺͼõÇá´æ¿îÈ˵ÄËðʧ£¬·ÀÖ¹µ¥¸öÒøÐÐΣ»úÑݱäΪϵͳÐÔΣ»ú¡£
£¨4£©¼ÓÇ¿ÖÐÑëÒøÐÐÓëÒø¼à»áµÄºÏ×÷Óëе÷¡£ÎÒ¹úÉèÁ¢Òø¼à»áÖ®ºó£¬ÖÐÑëÒøÐиºÔðºê¹Û»õ±ÒÕþ²ßµÄÖÆ¶¨Óëʵʩ£¬Òø¼à»áרÊÂÉÌÒµÒøÐмà¹Ü¡£Ö°ÄܵĻ®·Ö¾ö¶¨ÁËÖ»ÓÐÒø¼à»á²ÅÄÜ¿ìËٵصõ½½ðÈÚ·çÏÕ·½ÃæµÄÐÅÏ¢£¬µ«Òø¼à»á²»¿ÉÄܸø·¢Éú¼·¶Ò·çÏÕµÄÒøÐÐÒÔ×ʽð¾ÈÖú£¬ÒòΪÖÐÑëÒøÐÐÊÇ×îºó´û¿îÈËÖ°ÔðµÄÂÄÐÐÕߣ¬¶øÒøÐзçÏÕÒ»°ã¶¼¾ßÓÐÔÝʱÐÔ¡¢Í»·¢ÐÔµÄÌØÕ÷£¬Ò»µ©²»¼°Ê±¾ÈÔ®¾Í»á·¢ÉúÑÏÖØµÄÉç»áÎÊÌâ¡£Òò´Ë£¬ÔÚеļà¹ÜÌåÖÆÏ£¬±ØÐë¼ÓÇ¿ÖÐÑëÒøÐÐÓëÒø¼à»áµÄºÏ×÷Óëе÷¡£½¨ÒéÔÚδÀ´µÄ¡¶ÒøÐÐÒµ¼à¶½¹ÜÀí·¨¡·ÖжÔÖÐÑëÒøÐÐÓëÒø¼à»áÔÚÒøÐзçÏÕ·À·¶Óë´¦ÖõĺÏ×÷ºÍе÷·½Ãæ×ö³öÃ÷È·¹æ¶¨£¬ÐγÉÖÆ¶È»¯µÄ¿ç²¿ÃÅе÷»úÖÆ£¬ÒÔ¸üºÃµØ·¢»ÓÖÐÑëÒøÐÐ×÷Ϊ×îºó´û¿îÈ˵Ä×÷Óá£
2¡¢½¨Á¢Ã÷È·µÄ´æ¿î±£ÏÕÖÆ¶È
ÎÒ¹ú´æ¿î±£ÏÕ»ú¹¹µÄÖ°Äܶ¨Î»Ó¦×ۺϻ¯£¬´æ¿î±£ÏÕ·¨¸³Óè´æ¿î±£ÏÕ»ú¹¹¶àÖØÖ°ÄÜ¡£
£¨1£©¼à¹ÜÖ°ÄÜ£¬²âÖØÓÚ¼à²âͶ±£»ú¹¹µÄ·çÏÕ×´¿ö¡¢½¨Á¢Ô¤¾¯ÏµÍ³µÈ£»
£¨2£©Î£»ú¾ÈÖúÖ°ÄÜ£¬¾ÈÖú·½Ê½É趨Ϊ£º×ʽðÔ®Öú£¬µ±Í¶±£»ú¹¹³öÏÖÖ§¸¶Î£»ú»òÏÝÈëÆÆ²ú¾³µØÊ±£¬´æ¿î±£ÏÕ»ú¹¹¿Éͨ¹ýÔù¿î¡¢´û¿î¡¢¹ºÂòÆä×ʲúµÈ£¬°ïÖúÆä¶É¹ýÄѹأ»ÐÖú²¢¹º£¬Ðµ÷½¡È«½ðÈÚ»ú¹¹¶ÔÎ£ÍøÍ¶±£»ú¹¹½øÐв¢¹º»òÖØ¾À£»¶ÔΣÀ§»ú¹¹ÊµÐнӹܣ»
£¨3£©ÆÆ²ú´¦ÖÃÖ°ÄÜ£¬¼´¶Ô¾ÈÖúÎÞÍûµÄͶ±£»ú¹¹£¬¾·¨ÂɳÌÐòÐû¸æÆÆ²úºó£¬´æ¿î±£ÏÕ»ú¹¹°´ÕÕÓйط¨Âɹ涨£¬¶Ô´æ¿îÈ˽øÐдæ¿îÅ⸶¡£¹ØÓÚͶ±£»ú¹¹·¶Î§µÄÈ·Á¢¡£Á¢·¨Ó¦°ÑͶ±£»ú¹¹µÄ·¶Î§È·¶¨ÎªËùÓÐÔÚÎÒ¹ú¾³ÄÚÎüÊÕ´æ¿îµÄ½ðÈÚ»ú¹¹£¬°üÀ¨ËÄ´ó¹úÓÐÉÌÒµÒøÐС¢È«¹úÐÔ¼°ÇøÓòÐÔÉÌÒµÒøÐС¢³ÇÊм°Å©´åºÏ×÷ÒøÐС¢³ÇÊм°Å©´åÐÅÓÃÉçÒÔ¼°ÔÚÎÒ¹ú¾³ÄÚ¾ÓªÈËÃñ±ÒÒµÎñµÄÍâÉ̶À×ÊÒøÐС¢ÖÐÍâºÏ×ÊÒøÐС£´ËÍ⣬»¹Ó¦µ±×¢ÒâÒÔϼ¸µã£ºµÚÒ»£¬´æ¿î±£ÏÕÖÆ¶ÈµÄÉè¼ÆÔÔò¾ÍÊÇͨ¹ý»ýÀÛûÓз¢ÉúÑÏÖØ½ðÈÚ·çÏÕ»ò¼·¶ÒµÄ½ðÈÚ»ú¹¹µÄ×ʽ𣬶ÔΣÀ§½ðÈÚ»ú¹¹½øÐоÈÖú£¬ÆäʵÖÊÊǽ«¸ö±ðÒøÐÐÃæÁٵķçÏÕͨ¹ý´æ¿î±£ÏÕ»ú¹¹ÔÚÕû¸öÒøÐÐÒµÄÚ²¿½øÐзÖ̯ºÍ²¹³¥£¬´Ó¶ø´ïµ½Î¬»¤Õû¸öÒøÐÐÌåϵ°²È«µÄÄ¿µÄ£¬ËÄ´óÉÌÒµÒøÐÐÓÐÔðÈκÍÒåÎñͨ¹ýͬҵ»¥Öúά»¤½ðÈÚÌåϵµÄ°²È«ÓëÎȶ¨¡£µÚ¶þ£¬¾¡¹Ü¡°´óÔò²»Ò˵¹¡±£¨too big to fail£©Ò²ÊÇÎÒÃÇ×ñѵÄÔÔò£¬µ«²¢·Ç´óÒøÐв»ÐèÒª×ʽðÔ®Öú£¬ÒøÐмäµÄ½ôÃÜÁªÏµÍêÈ«¿ÉÄÜÒò²¿·ÖÖÐÐ¡ÒøÐÐÏÝÈëΣ»ú¶øÍÏÀÛËÄ´óÉÌÒµÒøÐС£µÚÈý£¬¹ýÓÚÏÁյĴæ¿î±£ÏÕ·¶Î§²»ÀûÓÚά»¤Ò»¸öÇ¿´óµÄ´æ¿î±£ÏÕ»ù½ð¡£
3¡¢ÍêÉÆ½Ó¹ÜÖÆ¶È
£¨1£©ÍêÉÆ½Ó¹ÜÈË·¨ÂÉÖÆ¶È¡£Öƶ¨ÖÜÏêµÄÓйؽӹÜ×éÖ¯ÖÆ¶È£¬Ã÷È·½Ó¹ÜµÄ±ê×¼£¬¶ÔÓÚ½Ó¹ÜÈ˵ÄÈÎÃü£¬¹úÎñÔºÒøÐÐÒµ¼à¶½¹ÜÀí»ú¹¹±ØÐëÉ÷Ö®ÓÖÉ÷£¬Í¬Ê±Ñϸñ½Ó¹ÜÈ˵ÄÈÎÖ°×ʸñ£¬Ã÷È·½Ó¹Ü×éÖ¯µÄȨÀûÒåÎñ£¬´Ó¶øÊ¹½Ó¹Ü×éÖ¯ÔÚ½Ó¹ÜΣ»úÉÌÒµÒøÐкóÓз¨¿ÉÒÀ£¬¶ø²»ÀÄÓÃÆäȨÁ¦£¬Î£º¦±»½Ó¹ÜÉÌÒµÒøÐеÄÀûÒæ£¬´Ó¶øÎ¬»¤Õû¸ö¹ú¼ÒµÄ½ðÈÚÖÈÐòºÍ¾¼ÃÖÈÐò¡£Í¬Ê±£¬Ó¦×¢ÒâµÄÊÇÓɱ»½Ó¹ÜÉÌÒµÒøÐÐÀ´³Ðµ£µÄ½Ó¹ÜÈËÔ±µÄ·ÑÓÃÓ¦ÏÞÓÚÓë½Ó¹ÜÐÐΪÓйأ¬²¢Ó¦×¢ÖؽÚÔ¼µÄÔÔò¡£
£¨2£©Ã÷È·ÖØÕû´ëÊ©¡£ÖØÕû´ëʩӦ°üÀ¨£º¶Ô±»½Ó¹ÜµÄÒøÐнøÐÐÕû¶ÙºÍ¸Ä×飺ÈËÃñÒøÐз¢·ÅÁÙʱ´û¿î£¬¸øÓè×ʽðÔ®Öú£¬ÇåÀí²Æ²ú£¬´ßÊÕծȨ¡£
£¨3£©¶Ô½Ó¹Ü×éÖ¯µÄÐÐΪ×ö³ö±ØÒªµÄÏÞÖÆ¡£ÎÒ¹úÏÖÐÐÁ¢·¨È±·¦¶Ô½Ó¹Ü×éÖ¯ÐÐΪµÄÏÞÖÆ£¬Ê¹½Ó¹Ü×éÖ¯¶ÔΣ»úÒøÐÐÓнϴóµÄ×ÔÓÉ´¦ÖÃȨ¡£¹ØÓÚ½Ó¹ÜÆÚ¼äµÄÏÞÖÆ£¬ÔÚ½Ó¹ÜÆÚ¼ä£¬½Ó¹Ü×éÖ¯¿ÉÒÀ·¨²Éȡʹ±»½Ó¹ÜÒøÐлָ´Õý³£¾ÓªÄÜÁ¦µÄÊֶΡ£ ¹ØÓÚ½Ó¹ÜÐÐΪµÄÏÞÖÆ£¬´Ó½Ó¹Ü¾ö¶¨ÊµÊ©Ö®ÈÕÆð£¬±»½Ó¹ÜµÄÒøÐв»ÔÙÐÐʹ¾Óª¹ÜÀíȨ£¬¶øÓɽӹÜ×éÖ¯´úΪÐÐʹ¡£½Ó¹Ü×éÖ¯µÄÒ»ÇÐÐÐΪӦÒÔÍì¾ÈÒøÐС¢±£»¤´æ¿îÈËÀûÒæ¡¢Î¬»¤½ðÈÚÖÈÐòÎȶ¨Îª×¼Ôò£¬Îª´Ë£¬Ó¦ÏÞÖÆÒøÐÐ×ªÒÆ×ʲúºÍ´Óʸ߷çÏÕÒµÎñÐÐΪ£¬½Ó¹Ü×éÖ¯¼°ÆäÈËÔ±Ò²²»Ó¦ÓÐËðº¦ÒøÐÐÀûÒæ¼°ÆäËûÈËÀûÒæµÄÐÐΪ¡£
2001ÄêÖйúÕýʽ³ÉΪÊÀ½çóÒ××éÖ¯µÄ³ÉÔ±¹ú¡£¸ù¾Ý¡¶½ðÈÚ·þÎñÐÒéµÄÏà¹ØÄÚÈÝ¡·£¬ÈëÊÀÎåÄêºóÎÒ¹ú½«È«Ãæ·Å¿ª¶ÔÍâ×ÊÒøÐеĵØÓòÏÞÖÆºÍÒµÎñÏÞÖÆ£¬Õâ×ãÒÔ¶Ô¹úÄÚÒøÐÐÒµÐγɾ޴óµÄ³å»÷ºÍÌôÕ½¡£ÃÀ¹ú´Î´ûΣ»úÒѾ¹ýÈ¥£¬µ«Æä¶ÔÃÀ¹ú¼°È«Çò½ðÈÚÊг¡µÄ¸ºÃæÓ°ÏìÈÔÔÚÀ©É¢ºÍÉ£¬²¢µ¼ÖÂÁËÒøÐнðÈÚ»ú¹¹µÄµ¹±Õʼþ²»¶ÏÓ¿ÏÖ¡£ÕâÌáÐÑÎÒÃÇ£¬¼à¹Üµ±¾ÖÔÚÓ½ÓеĻúÓöºÍÌôÕ½µÄͬʱ£¬Ðè´ÓÖÐÎüÈ¡½Ìѵ£¬Ó¦¼Ó¿ì½¨ÉèÎÒ¹úµÄÒøÐÐΣ»ú¾ÈÖúÖÆ¶ÈºÍ½Ó¹ÜÖÆ¶È£¬ÍêÉÆ×îºó´û¿îÈËÖÆ¶È£¬½¨Á¢½¡È«´æ¿î±£ÏÕÖÆ¶È£¬ÒÔά»¤ÎÒ¹úµÄ½ðÈÚ°²È«ºÍ½ðÈÚÎȶ¨¡£
²Î¿¼ÎÄÏ×
[1]ÐìÃÏÖÞ¡¢Ö£ÈËç⣬ÎÒ¹úÒøÐÐΣ»ú¾ÈÖú·¨ÂÉÖÆ¶ÈµÄȱÏݼ°Æä¸Ä½ø£¬ÖÐÑë²Æ¾´óѧѧ±¨£¬2004£¨2£©£¬P76-77£»
[2]ÂíÎÀ»ª:¡¶WTOÓëÖйú½ðÈÚ¼à¹Ü·¨ÂÉÖÆ¶ÈÑо¿¡·, ÖйúÈËÃñ´óѧ³ö°æÉç, 2002£¬P123£»
[3]ÀîÂå£¬ÒøÐÐΣ»ú¾ÈÖú·¨ÂÉÖÆ¶ÈÑо¿£¬¾ÓªÕß¹ÜÀí£¬2010£¨23£©£¬P255£»
[4]¹ùÆðÁ«£¬ÎÒ¹úÉÌÒµÒøÐнӹܷ¨ÂÉÖÆ¶È£¬½Î÷²Æ¾´óѧ£¬2006£¬10£¬P22-25£»
[5]ÈÎì³£¬ÎÒ¹úÉÌÒµÒøÐÐΣ»ú·À·¶Óë¾ÈÖú·¨ÂÉÖÆ¶ÈÑо¿£¬2008£¬P54£¬±¾ÎÄÁ´½Ó£ºhttp://d.g.wanfangdata.com.cn/Thesis_Y1659584.aspx;
[6]¶ÕýºÍ£¬ÒøÐÐΣ»ú¾ÈÖú·¨ÂÉÖÆ¶ÈÑо¿£¬2005£¬P21-24
[7]¼Öµ¤£¬ÎÒ¹úÒøÐÐÌåϵ´àÈõÐÔÖÎÀí¼°ÒøÐÐΣ»ú·À·¶²ßÂÔ£¬¾¼ÃÂÛ̳£¬2010£¨7£©p153£»
[8]»ª¹úÇ죬½ðÈÚΣ»ú±³¾°ÏÂÎÒ¹ú×îºó´û¿îÈËÖÆ¶ÈÑо¿£¬½ðÈÚΣ»úÓ뾼÷¨ÔÀí£¬2010(1),p113
×ܹ²4Ò³¡¡¡¡[1] [2] [3] 4
ÉÏÒ»Ò³¡¡¡¡